Scouting Report
Teddy Blueger holds a +7.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Blueger on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Kelly wins 43.9% vs left-shot opponents — Blueger shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kelly 43.9% vs Blueger 50.2% (-7.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Blueger 71.8%
Defensive zone
Blueger 59.6%
Neutral zone
Blueger 71.7%
Result
Teddy Blueger favored at 69.4%
30.6%
69.4%
Kelly
Blueger
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Kelly
Blueger
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Blueger
1
2
Kelly
Blueger
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kelly
1
0
Kelly
Blueger
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kelly
1
0
Kelly
Blueger
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kelly
Blueger
Edge
Even Strength
44.8% (556)
53.3% (745)
-8.5%
Power Play
0.0% (2)
45.5% (11)
-45.5%
Penalty Kill
36.8% (144)
41.7% (259)
-4.9%
On power play, Blueger has a +45.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Blueger shoots left. Kelly is 43.9% vs left-shot opponents (481).
Kelly shoots left. Blueger is 49.5% vs left-shot opponents (739).
Home / Away
Kelly
Blueger
Home
44.8% (368)
53.4% (504)
Away
41.0% (334)
47.2% (511)
By Period
Kelly
Blueger
P1
46.7%
46.6%
P2
48.0%
53.0%
P3
34.8%
50.8%
OT
50.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
35.8%
47.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kelly
22.0%▼
37.0%
43.0%
Blueger
54.0%▲
49.0%
50.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 4, 2025 | 2 | 13:03 | Offensive | Teddy Blueger |
| Dec 16, 2024 | 3 | 09:25 | Offensive | Parker Kelly |
| Dec 16, 2024 | 1 | 17:02 | Neutral | Parker Kelly |