Scouting Report
Teddy Blueger holds a +9.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Blueger on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Kelly wins 41.4% vs left-shot opponents — Blueger shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kelly 41.7% vs Blueger 50.0% (-9.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Blueger 57.0%
Defensive zone
Blueger 76.3%
Neutral zone
Blueger 68.9%
Result
Teddy Blueger favored at 63.3%
36.7%
63.3%
Kelly
Blueger
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Kelly
Blueger
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Blueger
1
2
Kelly
Blueger
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kelly
1
0
Kelly
Blueger
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kelly
1
0
Kelly
Blueger
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kelly
Blueger
Edge
Even Strength
42.0% (758)
52.2% (3,582)
-10.2%
Power Play
0.0% (3)
50.6% (77)
-50.6%
Penalty Kill
36.8% (174)
42.7% (1,103)
-5.9%
On power play, Blueger has a +50.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Blueger shoots left. Kelly is 41.4% vs left-shot opponents (630).
Kelly shoots left. Blueger is 49.6% vs left-shot opponents (3,231).
Home / Away
Kelly
Blueger
Home
42.4% (476)
51.3% (2,426)
Away
39.2% (459)
48.5% (2,336)
By Period
Kelly
Blueger
P1
42.3%
49.2%
P2
44.7%
52.2%
P3
35.6%
48.6%
OT
50.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
35.8%
48.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kelly
46.0%▲
38.0%
40.9%
Blueger
48.0%▬
47.5%
50.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 4, 2025 | 2 | 13:03 | Offensive | Teddy Blueger |
| Dec 16, 2024 | 3 | 09:25 | Offensive | Parker Kelly |
| Dec 16, 2024 | 1 | 17:02 | Neutral | Parker Kelly |