Scouting Report
Wyatt Johnston holds a +11.4% FO% edge overall. Kelly wins 34.9% vs right-shot opponents — Johnston shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kelly 41.4% vs Johnston 48.0% (-11.4%)
Offensive zone
Johnston 54.5%
Defensive zone
Johnston 53.5%
Neutral zone
Johnston 53.2%
Result
Wyatt Johnston favored at 53.7%
46.3%
53.7%
Kelly
Johnston
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kelly
Johnston
Edge
Even Strength
36.5% (159)
47.3% (666)
-10.8%
Power Play
0.0% (1)
50.7% (69)
-50.7%
Penalty Kill
38.5% (13)
51.4% (35)
-12.9%
On power play, Johnston has a +50.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnston shoots right. Kelly is 34.9% vs right-shot opponents (63).
Kelly shoots left. Johnston is 46.4% vs left-shot opponents (567).
Home / Away
Kelly
Johnston
Home
35.4% (79)
47.5% (364)
Away
37.2% (94)
48.0% (406)
By Period
Kelly
Johnston
P1
33.8%
49.4%
P2
36.5%
46.9%
P3
39.6%
47.1%
Final 5 min
37.8%
46.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kelly
46.0%▲
38.0%
36.4%
Johnston
40.0%▼
49.0%
47.8%