Scouting Report
Wyatt Johnston holds a +8.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Johnston on offensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Kelly wins 39.7% vs right-shot opponents — Johnston shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kelly 41.7% vs Johnston 49.0% (-8.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kelly 73.6%
Defensive zone
Kelly 76.4%
Neutral zone
Kelly 71.7%
Result
Parker Kelly favored at 74.3%
74.3%
25.7%
Kelly
Johnston
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
7
(8 meetings)
1
7
Kelly
Johnston
Last 8: Kelly 1-7 Johnston
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johnston
1
5
Kelly
Johnston
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Johnston
0
2
Kelly
Johnston
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kelly
Johnston
Edge
Even Strength
42.0% (758)
49.1% (2,232)
-7.1%
Power Play
0.0% (3)
52.5% (179)
-52.5%
Penalty Kill
36.8% (174)
44.7% (237)
-7.9%
On power play, Johnston has a +52.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnston shoots right. Kelly is 39.7% vs right-shot opponents (305).
Kelly shoots left. Johnston is 47.5% vs left-shot opponents (1,999).
Home / Away
Kelly
Johnston
Home
42.4% (476)
49.2% (1,332)
Away
39.2% (459)
48.7% (1,316)
By Period
Kelly
Johnston
P1
42.3%
50.0%
P2
44.7%
48.1%
P3
35.6%
48.6%
OT
50.0%
51.5%
Final 5 min
35.8%
48.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kelly
46.0%▲
38.0%
40.9%
Johnston
40.0%▼
49.0%
48.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 18, 2025 | 3 | 11:34 | Offensive | Wyatt Johnston |
| Jan 18, 2025 | 3 | 08:43 | Defensive | Wyatt Johnston |
| Jan 18, 2025 | 3 | 08:37 | Offensive | Parker Kelly |
| Jan 18, 2025 | 3 | 03:27 | Defensive | Wyatt Johnston |
| Jan 18, 2025 | 3 | 00:50 | Offensive | Wyatt Johnston |
| Jan 18, 2025 | 2 | 19:51 | Offensive | Wyatt Johnston |
| Jan 18, 2025 | 2 | 19:33 | Offensive | Wyatt Johnston |
| Jan 18, 2025 | 1 | 01:37 | Offensive | Wyatt Johnston |