Pavel Buchnevich vs Wyatt Johnston
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Wyatt Johnston holds a +14.3% FO% edge overall. Buchnevich wins 36.8% vs right-shot opponents — Johnston shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Buchnevich 36.0% vs Johnston 49.0% (-14.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Buchnevich 64.0%
Defensive zone
Johnston 64.7%
Neutral zone
Johnston 53.9%
Result
Pavel Buchnevich favored at 53.2%
53.2%
46.8%
Buchnevich
Johnston
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Buchnevich
Johnston
Last 7: Buchnevich 3-4 Johnston
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Buchnevich
Johnston
4 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Buchnevich
Johnston
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Johnston
0
1
Buchnevich
Johnston
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Buchnevich
Johnston
Edge
Even Strength
34.5% (931)
49.1% (2,232)
-14.6%
Power Play
44.2% (52)
52.5% (179)
-8.3%
Penalty Kill
24.3% (37)
44.7% (237)
-20.4%
On penalty kill, Johnston has a +20.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnston shoots right. Buchnevich is 36.8% vs right-shot opponents (348).
Buchnevich shoots left. Johnston is 47.5% vs left-shot opponents (1,999).
Home / Away
Buchnevich
Johnston
Home
35.6% (517)
49.2% (1,332)
Away
33.6% (503)
48.7% (1,316)
By Period
Buchnevich
Johnston
P1
35.2%
50.0%
P2
34.8%
48.1%
P3
33.4%
48.6%
OT
50.0%
51.5%
Final 5 min
38.2%
48.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Buchnevich
48.0%▲
41.0%
34.6%
Johnston
40.0%▼
49.0%
48.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 4, 2026 | 1 | 12:10 | Offensive | Pavel Buchnevich |
| Jan 27, 2026 | 1 | 14:48 | Offensive | Wyatt Johnston |
| Jan 27, 2026 | 1 | 12:21 | Offensive | Wyatt Johnston |
| Jan 23, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Wyatt Johnston |
| Jan 23, 2026 | 1 | 06:53 | Offensive | Pavel Buchnevich |
| Dec 14, 2024 | 1 | 01:36 | Defensive | Wyatt Johnston |
| Apr 17, 2024 | 1 | 06:32 | Defensive | Pavel Buchnevich |