Scouting Report
Pavel Zacha holds a +4.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Fantilli on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings). Fantilli wins 44.3% vs left-shot opponents — Zacha shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Fantilli 45.3% vs Zacha 49.2% (-4.1%)
H2H factor
Zacha leads 12-12 in 24 meetings
Offensive zone
Fantilli 67.8%
Defensive zone
Zacha 67.3%
Neutral zone
Zacha 51.8%
Result
Pavel Zacha favored at 50.8%
49.2%
50.8%
Fantilli
Zacha
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
12
(24 meetings)
12
12
Fantilli
Zacha
Last 10: Fantilli 5-5 Zacha
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Fantilli
4
2
Fantilli
Zacha
6 total
Defensive Zone
Even
3
3
Fantilli
Zacha
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zacha
5
7
Fantilli
Zacha
12 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Fantilli
Zacha
Edge
Even Strength
44.7% (2,179)
48.9% (5,156)
-4.2%
Power Play
51.4% (210)
55.7% (813)
-4.3%
Penalty Kill
30.8% (26)
42.2% (557)
-11.4%
On penalty kill, Zacha has a +11.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zacha shoots left. Fantilli is 44.3% vs left-shot opponents (1,604).
Fantilli shoots left. Zacha is 47.9% vs left-shot opponents (3,965).
Home / Away
Fantilli
Zacha
Home
47.3% (1,209)
49.7% (3,381)
Away
42.9% (1,206)
48.6% (3,145)
By Period
Fantilli
Zacha
P1
43.8%
49.9%
P2
46.3%
49.2%
P3
45.9%
48.2%
OT
25.8%
53.5%
Final 5 min
43.9%
47.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Fantilli
44.0%▼
46.5%
45.1%
Zacha
56.0%▲
50.0%
49.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2026 | OT | 03:18 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 29, 2026 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Fantilli |
| Mar 29, 2026 | 3 | 06:29 | Neutral | Adam Fantilli |
| Mar 29, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 29, 2026 | 2 | 11:29 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 29, 2026 | 2 | 00:18 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 29, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 29, 2026 | 1 | 03:45 | Offensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Mar 29, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Fantilli |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 3 | 13:21 | Offensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 2 | 17:46 | Defensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 2 | 17:41 | Defensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 2 | 14:04 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 1 | 15:51 | Neutral | Adam Fantilli |
| Dec 28, 2024 | 3 | 07:48 | Defensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Dec 28, 2024 | 1 | 10:24 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Dec 28, 2024 | 1 | 07:29 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Nov 18, 2024 | 1 | 19:06 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Nov 18, 2024 | 1 | 12:53 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Nov 18, 2024 | 1 | 05:17 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |