Scouting Report
Pavel Zacha holds a +8.5% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zacha 54.4% vs Krebs 46.8% (+8.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zacha 65.6%
Defensive zone
Krebs 65.9%
Neutral zone
Krebs 55.4%
Result
Pavel Zacha favored at 55.1%
55.1%
44.9%
Zacha
Krebs
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Zacha
Krebs
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zacha
1
0
Zacha
Krebs
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Krebs
0
1
Zacha
Krebs
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zacha
Krebs
Edge
Even Strength
53.9% (787)
47.2% (542)
+6.7%
Power Play
63.2% (193)
54.2% (24)
+9.0%
Penalty Kill
44.3% (88)
31.3% (48)
+13.0%
On penalty kill, Zacha has a +13.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Krebs shoots left. Zacha is 51.0% vs left-shot opponents (621).
Zacha shoots left. Krebs is 45.3% vs left-shot opponents (358).
Home / Away
Zacha
Krebs
Home
56.7% (538)
45.5% (312)
Away
52.8% (530)
47.0% (302)
By Period
Zacha
Krebs
P1
52.6%
46.6%
P2
54.8%
42.7%
P3
56.8%
48.6%
OT
59.1%
100.0%
Final 5 min
51.9%
49.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zacha
56.0%▲
50.0%
54.8%
Krebs
48.0%▲
42.0%
46.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 7, 2023 | 2 | 17:35 | Neutral | Peyton Krebs |
| Dec 7, 2023 | 2 | 03:38 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |