Scouting Report
Pavel Zacha holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zacha 52.8% vs Krebs 49.2% (+4.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zacha 73.8%
Defensive zone
Krebs 68.9%
Neutral zone
Krebs 50.8%
Result
Pavel Zacha favored at 61.5%
61.5%
38.5%
Zacha
Krebs
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Zacha
Krebs
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zacha
1
0
Zacha
Krebs
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Krebs
0
1
Zacha
Krebs
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zacha
Krebs
Edge
Even Strength
54.1% (534)
49.5% (560)
+4.6%
Power Play
56.0% (109)
52.6% (38)
+3.4%
Penalty Kill
44.8% (96)
43.3% (67)
+1.5%
On even strength, Zacha has a +4.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Krebs shoots left. Zacha is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (433).
Zacha shoots left. Krebs is 48.0% vs left-shot opponents (433).
Home / Away
Zacha
Krebs
Home
53.4% (406)
49.4% (314)
Away
52.9% (333)
48.7% (351)
By Period
Zacha
Krebs
P1
56.8%
47.0%
P2
53.6%
50.5%
P3
49.2%
50.0%
OT
50.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
49.2%
48.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zacha
56.0%▲
50.0%
53.2%
Krebs
48.0%▲
42.0%
49.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2025 | 1 | 19:40 | Neutral | Peyton Krebs |
| Mar 17, 2025 | 1 | 11:59 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |