Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.0% vs 51.3%). Look for Zacha on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zacha 51.8% vs Greig 51.1% (+0.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zacha 63.6%
Defensive zone
Greig 60.9%
Neutral zone
Zacha 59.3%
Result
Pavel Zacha favored at 55.9%
55.9%
44.1%
Zacha
Greig
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Zacha
Greig
Last 8: Zacha 5-3 Greig
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zacha
2
1
Zacha
Greig
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Greig
0
2
Zacha
Greig
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zacha
3
0
Zacha
Greig
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zacha
Greig
Edge
Even Strength
53.0% (700)
51.9% (347)
+1.1%
Power Play
54.1% (109)
66.7% (24)
-12.6%
Penalty Kill
39.2% (74)
44.8% (87)
-5.6%
On power play, Greig has a +12.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Greig shoots left. Zacha is 51.5% vs left-shot opponents (520).
Zacha shoots left. Greig is 45.0% vs left-shot opponents (238).
Home / Away
Zacha
Greig
Home
51.6% (438)
50.4% (254)
Away
52.4% (445)
52.5% (204)
By Period
Zacha
Greig
P1
57.0%
45.9%
P2
48.9%
60.1%
P3
50.5%
49.2%
OT
42.1%
0.0%
Final 5 min
48.0%
54.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zacha
56.0%▲
50.0%
52.0%
Greig
58.0%▲
52.0%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 21, 2025 | 3 | 18:57 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Dec 21, 2025 | 2 | 17:26 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Dec 21, 2025 | 1 | 16:54 | Offensive | Ridly Greig |
| Dec 21, 2025 | 1 | 16:47 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Dec 21, 2025 | 1 | 06:24 | Defensive | Ridly Greig |
| Nov 13, 2025 | 1 | 04:40 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Nov 6, 2025 | 3 | 01:31 | Defensive | Ridly Greig |
| Oct 27, 2025 | 3 | 08:12 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |