Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.2% vs 48.9%). Look for Greig on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zacha 49.2% vs Greig 49.0% (+0.3%)
H2H factor
Greig leads 6-6 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Zacha 66.8%
Defensive zone
Greig 65.8%
Neutral zone
Zacha 53.2%
Result
Pavel Zacha favored at 51.4%
51.4%
48.6%
Zacha
Greig
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
6
(12 meetings)
6
6
Zacha
Greig
Last 10: Zacha 6-4 Greig
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zacha
3
1
Zacha
Greig
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Greig
0
4
Zacha
Greig
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zacha
3
1
Zacha
Greig
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zacha
Greig
Edge
Even Strength
48.9% (5,156)
48.7% (1,144)
+0.2%
Power Play
55.7% (813)
56.8% (74)
-1.1%
Penalty Kill
42.2% (557)
47.2% (178)
-5.0%
On penalty kill, Greig has a +5.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Greig shoots left. Zacha is 47.9% vs left-shot opponents (3,965).
Zacha shoots left. Greig is 45.0% vs left-shot opponents (753).
Home / Away
Zacha
Greig
Home
49.7% (3,381)
49.9% (688)
Away
48.6% (3,145)
48.0% (708)
By Period
Zacha
Greig
P1
49.9%
46.0%
P2
49.2%
51.8%
P3
48.2%
49.1%
OT
53.5%
28.6%
Final 5 min
47.3%
53.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zacha
56.0%▲
50.0%
49.2%
Greig
58.0%▲
52.0%
48.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 21, 2025 | 3 | 18:57 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Dec 21, 2025 | 2 | 17:26 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Dec 21, 2025 | 1 | 16:54 | Offensive | Ridly Greig |
| Dec 21, 2025 | 1 | 16:47 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Dec 21, 2025 | 1 | 06:24 | Defensive | Ridly Greig |
| Nov 13, 2025 | 1 | 04:40 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Nov 6, 2025 | 3 | 01:31 | Defensive | Ridly Greig |
| Oct 27, 2025 | 3 | 08:12 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 13, 2025 | 2 | 17:07 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Jan 23, 2025 | 2 | 17:05 | Defensive | Ridly Greig |
| Nov 9, 2024 | 1 | 15:09 | Defensive | Ridly Greig |
| Apr 16, 2024 | 2 | 10:54 | Neutral | Ridly Greig |