Scouting Report
Pavel Zacha holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall. Zacha wins 45.1% vs right-shot opponents — Hartman shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zacha 46.5% vs Hartman 44.0% (+2.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zacha 55.5%
Defensive zone
Hartman 70.1%
Neutral zone
Hartman 55.1%
Result
Ryan Hartman favored at 70.1%
29.9%
70.1%
Zacha
Hartman
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Zacha
Hartman
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hartman
0
1
Zacha
Hartman
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zacha
Hartman
Edge
Even Strength
45.3% (247)
42.6% (495)
+2.7%
Power Play
58.1% (31)
38.5% (26)
+19.6%
Penalty Kill
22.2% (18)
48.8% (43)
-26.6%
On penalty kill, Hartman has a +26.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hartman shoots right. Zacha is 45.1% vs right-shot opponents (91).
Zacha shoots left. Hartman is 41.4% vs left-shot opponents (406).
Home / Away
Zacha
Hartman
Home
39.7% (131)
43.4% (288)
Away
49.7% (165)
42.4% (276)
By Period
Zacha
Hartman
P1
42.9%
43.1%
P2
46.4%
43.4%
P3
42.3%
42.0%
OT
87.5%
50.0%
Final 5 min
38.9%
44.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zacha
56.0%▲
50.0%
45.3%
Hartman
50.0%▬
50.0%
42.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 22, 2022 | 2 | 18:25 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |