Scouting Report
Pavel Zacha holds a +7.8% FO% edge overall. Zacha wins 60.0% vs right-shot opponents — Hartman shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zacha 54.4% vs Hartman 47.3% (+7.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zacha 50.8%
Defensive zone
Hartman 76.5%
Neutral zone
Hartman 62.3%
Result
Ryan Hartman favored at 76.5%
23.5%
76.5%
Zacha
Hartman
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Zacha
Hartman
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hartman
0
1
Zacha
Hartman
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zacha
Hartman
Edge
Even Strength
53.9% (787)
47.1% (649)
+6.8%
Power Play
63.2% (193)
47.1% (68)
+16.1%
Penalty Kill
44.3% (88)
45.2% (73)
-0.9%
On power play, Zacha has a +16.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hartman shoots right. Zacha is 60.0% vs right-shot opponents (447).
Zacha shoots left. Hartman is 47.9% vs left-shot opponents (608).
Home / Away
Zacha
Hartman
Home
56.7% (538)
46.5% (361)
Away
52.8% (530)
47.3% (429)
By Period
Zacha
Hartman
P1
52.6%
45.1%
P2
54.8%
44.4%
P3
56.8%
50.9%
OT
59.1%
50.0%
Final 5 min
51.9%
52.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zacha
56.0%▲
50.0%
54.8%
Hartman
50.0%▬
50.0%
47.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 19, 2023 | 1 | 15:51 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |