Scouting Report
Pavel Zacha holds a +7.3% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zacha 51.8% vs Strome 45.9% (+7.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zacha 58.4%
Defensive zone
Zacha 76.5%
Neutral zone
Zacha 70.1%
Result
Pavel Zacha favored at 66.2%
66.2%
33.8%
Zacha
Strome
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Zacha
Strome
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zacha
1
0
Zacha
Strome
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Zacha
Strome
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zacha
Strome
Edge
Even Strength
53.0% (700)
45.4% (315)
+7.6%
Power Play
54.1% (109)
35.7% (28)
+18.4%
Penalty Kill
39.2% (74)
50.0% (4)
-10.8%
On power play, Zacha has a +18.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Strome shoots right. Zacha is 52.5% vs right-shot opponents (362).
Zacha shoots left. Strome is 46.0% vs left-shot opponents (250).
Home / Away
Zacha
Strome
Home
51.6% (438)
42.6% (188)
Away
52.4% (445)
47.2% (159)
By Period
Zacha
Strome
P1
57.0%
38.6%
P2
48.9%
48.4%
P3
50.5%
46.2%
OT
42.1%
33.3%
Final 5 min
48.0%
45.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zacha
56.0%▲
50.0%
52.0%
Strome
50.0%▲
45.0%
44.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 19, 2025 | 3 | 16:25 | Neutral | Ryan Strome |
| Nov 19, 2025 | 2 | 08:56 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Nov 19, 2025 | 2 | 06:32 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |