Scouting Report
Pavel Zacha holds a +4.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Strome on offensive-zone draws (58% H2H, 19 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zacha 49.2% vs Strome 44.6% (+4.6%)
H2H factor
Zacha leads 30-27 in 57 meetings
Offensive zone
Zacha 59.8%
Defensive zone
Zacha 61.8%
Neutral zone
Zacha 64.3%
Result
Pavel Zacha favored at 62.0%
62.0%
38.0%
Zacha
Strome
Head-to-Head Record
30
-
27
(57 meetings)
30
27
Zacha
Strome
Last 10: Zacha 6-4 Strome
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Strome
8
11
Zacha
Strome
19 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zacha
11
8
Zacha
Strome
19 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zacha
11
8
Zacha
Strome
19 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zacha
Strome
Edge
Even Strength
48.9% (5,156)
44.2% (6,887)
+4.7%
Power Play
55.7% (813)
49.2% (855)
+6.5%
Penalty Kill
42.2% (557)
41.5% (410)
+0.7%
On power play, Zacha has a +6.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Strome shoots right. Zacha is 51.1% vs right-shot opponents (2,560).
Zacha shoots left. Strome is 45.5% vs left-shot opponents (5,773).
Home / Away
Zacha
Strome
Home
49.7% (3,381)
44.4% (4,077)
Away
48.6% (3,145)
44.8% (4,075)
By Period
Zacha
Strome
P1
49.9%
43.9%
P2
49.2%
45.4%
P3
48.2%
44.4%
OT
53.5%
46.3%
Final 5 min
47.3%
44.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zacha
56.0%▲
50.0%
49.2%
Strome
50.0%▲
45.0%
44.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 19, 2025 | 3 | 16:25 | Neutral | Ryan Strome |
| Nov 19, 2025 | 2 | 08:56 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Nov 19, 2025 | 2 | 06:32 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 26, 2025 | 2 | 13:58 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 26, 2025 | 1 | 14:10 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Feb 22, 2025 | 3 | 14:36 | Defensive | Ryan Strome |
| Feb 22, 2025 | 3 | 11:12 | Defensive | Ryan Strome |
| Feb 22, 2025 | 3 | 04:34 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Oct 22, 2023 | 3 | 17:09 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Oct 22, 2023 | 2 | 08:10 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Oct 22, 2023 | 1 | 06:58 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Oct 20, 2022 | 2 | 14:17 | Defensive | Ryan Strome |
| Mar 6, 2021 | 3 | 16:56 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 6, 2021 | 3 | 01:28 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 6, 2021 | 2 | 07:03 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 6, 2021 | 2 | 01:29 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Mar 6, 2021 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 6, 2021 | 1 | 19:02 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 6, 2021 | 1 | 06:38 | Defensive | Ryan Strome |
| Mar 6, 2021 | 1 | 01:33 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |