Scouting Report
Sam Lafferty holds a +5.8% FO% edge overall. Zacha wins 45.1% vs right-shot opponents — Lafferty shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zacha 46.5% vs Lafferty 50.9% (-5.8%)
Offensive zone
Zacha 74.6%
Defensive zone
Lafferty 83.0%
Neutral zone
Zacha 50.1%
Result
Sam Lafferty favored at 52.8%
47.2%
52.8%
Zacha
Lafferty
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zacha
Lafferty
Edge
Even Strength
45.3% (247)
52.2% (366)
-6.9%
Power Play
58.1% (31)
60.0% (15)
-1.9%
Penalty Kill
22.2% (18)
46.2% (104)
-24.0%
On penalty kill, Lafferty has a +24.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lafferty shoots right. Zacha is 45.1% vs right-shot opponents (91).
Zacha shoots left. Lafferty is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (363).
Home / Away
Zacha
Lafferty
Home
39.7% (131)
53.1% (258)
Away
49.7% (165)
48.9% (227)
By Period
Zacha
Lafferty
P1
42.9%
52.5%
P2
46.4%
49.7%
P3
42.3%
51.3%
OT
87.5%
33.3%
Final 5 min
38.9%
49.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zacha
48.0%▼
51.0%
45.3%
Lafferty
48.0%▼
50.0%
51.1%