Scouting Report
Pavel Zacha holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Lafferty on defensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zacha 49.2% vs Lafferty 47.5% (+1.8%)
H2H factor
Lafferty leads 6-6 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Zacha 69.8%
Defensive zone
Lafferty 69.5%
Neutral zone
Zacha 51.2%
Result
Sam Lafferty favored at 51.2%
48.8%
51.2%
Zacha
Lafferty
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
6
(12 meetings)
6
6
Zacha
Lafferty
Last 10: Zacha 6-4 Lafferty
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Zacha
Lafferty
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lafferty
2
3
Zacha
Lafferty
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zacha
2
1
Zacha
Lafferty
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zacha
Lafferty
Edge
Even Strength
48.9% (5,156)
47.9% (1,417)
+1.0%
Power Play
55.7% (813)
45.7% (46)
+10.0%
Penalty Kill
42.2% (557)
43.5% (184)
-1.3%
On power play, Zacha has a +10.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lafferty shoots right. Zacha is 51.1% vs right-shot opponents (2,560).
Zacha shoots left. Lafferty is 46.9% vs left-shot opponents (1,252).
Home / Away
Zacha
Lafferty
Home
49.7% (3,381)
47.3% (833)
Away
48.6% (3,145)
47.4% (814)
By Period
Zacha
Lafferty
P1
49.9%
49.4%
P2
49.2%
43.1%
P3
48.2%
49.6%
OT
53.5%
60.0%
Final 5 min
47.3%
45.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zacha
56.0%▲
50.0%
49.2%
Lafferty
50.0%▬
50.5%
47.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 17, 2025 | 1 | 04:19 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Feb 24, 2024 | 3 | 09:40 | Defensive | Sam Lafferty |
| Feb 24, 2024 | 2 | 08:54 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Feb 24, 2024 | 1 | 02:08 | Offensive | Sam Lafferty |
| Feb 8, 2024 | 1 | 15:37 | Neutral | Sam Lafferty |
| Mar 21, 2021 | 3 | 16:46 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 20, 2021 | 3 | 04:40 | Defensive | Sam Lafferty |
| Mar 10, 2020 | 3 | 18:45 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Nov 22, 2019 | 2 | 08:15 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Nov 15, 2019 | 3 | 07:06 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Nov 15, 2019 | 3 | 01:37 | Offensive | Sam Lafferty |
| Nov 15, 2019 | 2 | 13:16 | Defensive | Sam Lafferty |