Scouting Report
Sebastian Aho holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Zacha on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zacha 50.1% vs Aho 52.2% (-2.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Result
Sebastian Aho favored at 52.1%
47.9%
52.1%
Zacha
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Zacha
Aho
Last 7: Zacha 4-3 Aho
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Aho
0
2
Zacha
Aho
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zacha
1
0
Zacha
Aho
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zacha
3
1
Zacha
Aho
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zacha
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
48.0% (296)
51.6% (819)
-3.6%
Power Play
61.0% (59)
58.4% (173)
+2.6%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (22)
46.3% (67)
+3.7%
On penalty kill, Zacha has a +3.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Zacha is 47.9% vs left-shot opponents (217).
Zacha shoots left. Aho is 51.3% vs left-shot opponents (674).
Home / Away
Zacha
Aho
Home
48.9% (223)
53.9% (568)
Away
51.9% (154)
50.7% (491)
By Period
Zacha
Aho
P1
47.9%
55.4%
P2
48.3%
51.2%
P3
54.3%
50.9%
OT
44.4%
28.6%
Final 5 min
47.1%
45.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zacha
48.0%▼
51.0%
50.1%
Aho
54.0%▼
56.5%
52.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 28, 2022 | 1 | 13:55 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Apr 28, 2022 | 1 | 09:53 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Apr 23, 2022 | 2 | 15:20 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Apr 23, 2022 | 2 | 01:03 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Apr 23, 2022 | 2 | 00:56 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Apr 23, 2022 | 1 | 13:33 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Jan 22, 2022 | 1 | 17:26 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |