Scouting Report
Pavel Zacha holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Aho on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Zacha wins 53.6% vs left-shot opponents — Aho shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zacha 51.9% vs Aho 50.4% (+1.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Result
Pavel Zacha favored at 51.5%
51.5%
48.5%
Zacha
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Zacha
Aho
Last 8: Zacha 3-5 Aho
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Aho
0
3
Zacha
Aho
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zacha
2
1
Zacha
Aho
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Zacha
Aho
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zacha
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (497)
50.5% (647)
+3.2%
Power Play
54.8% (84)
54.2% (131)
+0.6%
Penalty Kill
37.5% (64)
38.1% (42)
-0.6%
On even strength, Zacha has a +3.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Zacha is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (371).
Zacha shoots left. Aho is 47.5% vs left-shot opponents (531).
Home / Away
Zacha
Aho
Home
51.0% (335)
53.9% (445)
Away
53.5% (310)
46.4% (375)
By Period
Zacha
Aho
P1
60.0%
48.7%
P2
48.1%
51.4%
P3
48.8%
50.8%
OT
44.4%
58.8%
Final 5 min
49.0%
49.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zacha
48.0%▼
51.0%
52.2%
Aho
54.0%▼
56.5%
50.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 17, 2025 | 2 | 06:08 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Nov 1, 2025 | 3 | 15:47 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Nov 1, 2025 | 3 | 11:58 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Nov 1, 2025 | 2 | 02:02 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Nov 1, 2025 | 1 | 10:12 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Nov 1, 2025 | 1 | 09:45 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Nov 1, 2025 | 1 | 06:17 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Nov 1, 2025 | 1 | 00:56 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |