Scouting Report
Pavel Zacha holds a +10.7% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zacha 51.8% vs Jarvis 46.3% (+10.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jarvis 75.8%
Defensive zone
Zacha 61.0%
Neutral zone
Jarvis 51.2%
Result
Seth Jarvis favored at 75.8%
24.2%
75.8%
Zacha
Jarvis
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Zacha
Jarvis
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jarvis
0
1
Zacha
Jarvis
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zacha
Jarvis
Edge
Even Strength
53.0% (700)
42.6% (54)
+10.4%
Power Play
54.1% (109)
33.3% (6)
+20.8%
Penalty Kill
39.2% (74)
40.0% (15)
-0.8%
On power play, Zacha has a +20.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jarvis shoots right. Zacha is 52.5% vs right-shot opponents (362).
Zacha shoots left. Jarvis is 42.6% vs left-shot opponents (61).
Home / Away
Zacha
Jarvis
Home
51.6% (438)
43.6% (39)
Away
52.4% (445)
38.9% (36)
By Period
Zacha
Jarvis
P1
57.0%
36.0%
P2
48.9%
48.3%
P3
50.5%
36.8%
OT
42.1%
50.0%
Final 5 min
48.0%
23.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zacha
56.0%▲
50.0%
52.0%
Jarvis
40.0%▲
38.0%
41.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2025 | 2 | 08:34 | Offensive | Seth Jarvis |