Scouting Report
Pavel Zacha holds a +7.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Zacha on offensive-zone draws (64% H2H, 11 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zacha 49.2% vs Jarvis 42.5% (+7.9%)
H2H factor
Zacha leads 8-6 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Zacha 71.0%
Defensive zone
Zacha 73.2%
Neutral zone
Zacha 71.3%
Result
Pavel Zacha favored at 71.3%
71.3%
28.7%
Zacha
Jarvis
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
6
(14 meetings)
8
6
Zacha
Jarvis
Last 10: Zacha 5-5 Jarvis
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zacha
7
4
Zacha
Jarvis
11 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jarvis
0
2
Zacha
Jarvis
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zacha
1
0
Zacha
Jarvis
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zacha
Jarvis
Edge
Even Strength
48.9% (5,156)
41.8% (354)
+7.1%
Power Play
55.7% (813)
43.7% (119)
+12.0%
Penalty Kill
42.2% (557)
38.2% (157)
+4.0%
On power play, Zacha has a +12.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jarvis shoots right. Zacha is 51.1% vs right-shot opponents (2,560).
Zacha shoots left. Jarvis is 40.1% vs left-shot opponents (514).
Home / Away
Zacha
Jarvis
Home
49.7% (3,381)
43.8% (336)
Away
48.6% (3,145)
38.4% (294)
By Period
Zacha
Jarvis
P1
49.9%
39.5%
P2
49.2%
39.5%
P3
48.2%
45.8%
OT
53.5%
33.3%
Final 5 min
47.3%
38.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zacha
56.0%▲
50.0%
49.2%
Jarvis
40.0%▲
38.0%
41.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2025 | 2 | 08:34 | Offensive | Seth Jarvis |
| Oct 31, 2024 | 1 | 17:59 | Offensive | Seth Jarvis |
| Apr 9, 2024 | 2 | 14:22 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Apr 9, 2024 | 2 | 02:51 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Apr 9, 2024 | 1 | 00:54 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Apr 4, 2024 | 3 | 01:22 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Apr 4, 2024 | 2 | 18:16 | Offensive | Seth Jarvis |
| Apr 4, 2024 | 2 | 07:54 | Defensive | Seth Jarvis |
| Apr 4, 2024 | 2 | 04:03 | Defensive | Seth Jarvis |
| Apr 4, 2024 | 1 | 15:53 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Apr 4, 2024 | 1 | 03:59 | Offensive | Seth Jarvis |
| Jan 24, 2024 | 3 | 13:29 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Jan 24, 2024 | 2 | 14:51 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Jan 24, 2024 | 1 | 03:01 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |