Scouting Report
Pavel Zacha holds a +12.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zacha 51.8% vs Wright 41.4% (+12.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Wright 81.6%
Defensive zone
Wright 54.8%
Neutral zone
Wright 69.1%
Result
Shane Wright favored at 68.5%
31.5%
68.5%
Zacha
Wright
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Zacha
Wright
Last 6: Zacha 2-4 Wright
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Zacha
Wright
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Zacha
Wright
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Wright
0
2
Zacha
Wright
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zacha
Wright
Edge
Even Strength
53.0% (700)
39.7% (461)
+13.3%
Power Play
54.1% (109)
41.0% (61)
+13.1%
Penalty Kill
39.2% (74)
0.0% (1)
+39.2%
On penalty kill, Zacha has a +39.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Wright shoots right. Zacha is 52.5% vs right-shot opponents (362).
Zacha shoots left. Wright is 38.8% vs left-shot opponents (402).
Home / Away
Zacha
Wright
Home
51.6% (438)
39.5% (286)
Away
52.4% (445)
40.1% (237)
By Period
Zacha
Wright
P1
57.0%
40.2%
P2
48.9%
36.7%
P3
50.5%
42.9%
OT
42.1%
0.0%
Final 5 min
48.0%
40.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zacha
56.0%▲
50.0%
52.0%
Wright
42.0%▬
42.0%
39.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 15, 2026 | 2 | 11:31 | Offensive | Shane Wright |
| Jan 15, 2026 | 2 | 04:40 | Neutral | Shane Wright |
| Jan 15, 2026 | 1 | 08:46 | Defensive | Shane Wright |
| Jan 6, 2026 | 2 | 07:52 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Jan 6, 2026 | 2 | 04:44 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Jan 6, 2026 | 1 | 11:22 | Neutral | Shane Wright |