Scouting Report
Pavel Zacha holds a +6.3% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zacha 49.2% vs Wright 43.3% (+6.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Wright 66.2%
Defensive zone
Wright 67.1%
Neutral zone
Wright 66.5%
Result
Shane Wright favored at 66.6%
33.4%
66.6%
Zacha
Wright
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Zacha
Wright
Last 6: Zacha 2-4 Wright
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Zacha
Wright
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Zacha
Wright
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Wright
0
2
Zacha
Wright
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zacha
Wright
Edge
Even Strength
48.9% (5,156)
42.7% (1,326)
+6.2%
Power Play
55.7% (813)
45.1% (133)
+10.6%
Penalty Kill
42.2% (557)
33.3% (6)
+8.9%
On power play, Zacha has a +10.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Wright shoots right. Zacha is 51.1% vs right-shot opponents (2,560).
Zacha shoots left. Wright is 42.4% vs left-shot opponents (1,080).
Home / Away
Zacha
Wright
Home
49.7% (3,381)
44.2% (746)
Away
48.6% (3,145)
41.4% (719)
By Period
Zacha
Wright
P1
49.9%
44.5%
P2
49.2%
40.5%
P3
48.2%
44.0%
OT
53.5%
20.0%
Final 5 min
47.3%
41.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zacha
56.0%▲
50.0%
49.2%
Wright
42.0%▬
42.0%
42.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 15, 2026 | 2 | 11:31 | Offensive | Shane Wright |
| Jan 15, 2026 | 2 | 04:40 | Neutral | Shane Wright |
| Jan 15, 2026 | 1 | 08:46 | Defensive | Shane Wright |
| Jan 6, 2026 | 2 | 07:52 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Jan 6, 2026 | 2 | 04:44 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Jan 6, 2026 | 1 | 11:22 | Neutral | Shane Wright |