Scouting Report
Steven Stamkos holds a +4.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Stamkos on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zacha 51.8% vs Stamkos 55.4% (-4.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stamkos 57.0%
Defensive zone
Zacha 79.7%
Neutral zone
Zacha 60.5%
Result
Steven Stamkos favored at 57.0%
43.0%
57.0%
Zacha
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Zacha
Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
1
2
Zacha
Stamkos
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zacha
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
53.0% (700)
57.1% (368)
-4.1%
Power Play
54.1% (109)
55.2% (96)
-1.1%
Penalty Kill
39.2% (74)
50.0% (10)
-10.8%
On penalty kill, Stamkos has a +10.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Zacha is 52.5% vs right-shot opponents (362).
Zacha shoots left. Stamkos is 58.6% vs left-shot opponents (353).
Home / Away
Zacha
Stamkos
Home
51.6% (438)
53.9% (230)
Away
52.4% (445)
59.0% (244)
By Period
Zacha
Stamkos
P1
57.0%
56.7%
P2
48.9%
54.1%
P3
50.5%
59.2%
OT
42.1%
62.5%
Final 5 min
48.0%
59.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zacha
56.0%▲
50.0%
52.0%
Stamkos
66.0%▲
56.5%
56.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 27, 2026 | 3 | 12:54 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Jan 27, 2026 | 2 | 12:16 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Jan 27, 2026 | 2 | 01:01 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |