Scouting Report
Pavel Zacha holds a +10.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Zacha on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Zacha wins 54.9% vs right-shot opponents — Thompson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zacha 52.8% vs Thompson 43.7% (+10.4%)
H2H factor
Zacha leads 6-5 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Zacha 70.6%
Defensive zone
Zacha 65.8%
Neutral zone
Zacha 67.7%
Result
Pavel Zacha favored at 68.5%
68.5%
31.5%
Zacha
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
5
(11 meetings)
6
5
Zacha
Thompson
Last 10: Zacha 6-4 Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
2
4
Zacha
Thompson
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zacha
4
1
Zacha
Thompson
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zacha
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
54.1% (534)
41.9% (597)
+12.2%
Power Play
56.0% (109)
50.5% (95)
+5.5%
Penalty Kill
44.8% (96)
25.0% (12)
+19.8%
On penalty kill, Zacha has a +19.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots right. Zacha is 54.9% vs right-shot opponents (306).
Zacha shoots left. Thompson is 42.0% vs left-shot opponents (514).
Home / Away
Zacha
Thompson
Home
53.4% (406)
47.1% (367)
Away
52.9% (333)
38.0% (337)
By Period
Zacha
Thompson
P1
56.8%
44.2%
P2
53.6%
41.6%
P3
49.2%
42.9%
OT
50.0%
25.0%
Final 5 min
49.2%
48.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zacha
48.0%▼
51.0%
53.2%
Thompson
34.0%▼
41.5%
42.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2025 | 3 | 18:50 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Apr 6, 2025 | 1 | 19:56 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Apr 6, 2025 | 1 | 19:51 | Offensive | Tage Thompson |
| Mar 17, 2025 | 3 | 08:20 | Defensive | Tage Thompson |
| Mar 17, 2025 | 2 | 04:06 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 17, 2025 | 2 | 00:34 | Offensive | Tage Thompson |
| Mar 17, 2025 | 1 | 18:13 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Dec 21, 2024 | 3 | 19:44 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Dec 21, 2024 | 2 | 17:08 | Offensive | Tage Thompson |
| Dec 21, 2024 | 1 | 18:06 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Dec 21, 2024 | 1 | 06:07 | Offensive | Tage Thompson |