Scouting Report
Pavel Zacha holds a +6.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Zacha on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 12 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zacha 49.2% vs Thompson 42.8% (+6.6%)
H2H factor
Zacha leads 19-11 in 30 meetings
Offensive zone
Zacha 93.4%
Defensive zone
Zacha 88.4%
Neutral zone
Zacha 85.6%
Result
Pavel Zacha favored at 89.6%
89.6%
10.4%
Zacha
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
19
-
11
(30 meetings)
19
11
Zacha
Thompson
Last 10: Zacha 8-2 Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zacha
6
5
Zacha
Thompson
11 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zacha
9
3
Zacha
Thompson
12 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zacha
4
3
Zacha
Thompson
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zacha
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
48.9% (5,156)
42.9% (3,540)
+6.0%
Power Play
55.7% (813)
46.9% (373)
+8.8%
Penalty Kill
42.2% (557)
33.6% (265)
+8.6%
On power play, Zacha has a +8.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots right. Zacha is 51.1% vs right-shot opponents (2,560).
Zacha shoots left. Thompson is 40.8% vs left-shot opponents (3,029).
Home / Away
Zacha
Thompson
Home
49.7% (3,381)
44.8% (2,135)
Away
48.6% (3,145)
40.3% (2,043)
By Period
Zacha
Thompson
P1
49.9%
44.4%
P2
49.2%
43.7%
P3
48.2%
40.0%
OT
53.5%
36.4%
Final 5 min
47.3%
40.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zacha
56.0%▲
50.0%
49.2%
Thompson
36.0%▼
40.0%
42.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 25, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 3 | 19:33 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 3 | 17:13 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 3 | 00:25 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 2 | 17:47 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 2 | 12:47 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tage Thompson |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 1 | 10:23 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 1 | 02:30 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tage Thompson |
| Apr 6, 2025 | 3 | 18:50 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Apr 6, 2025 | 1 | 19:56 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Apr 6, 2025 | 1 | 19:51 | Offensive | Tage Thompson |
| Mar 17, 2025 | 3 | 08:20 | Defensive | Tage Thompson |
| Mar 17, 2025 | 2 | 04:06 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 17, 2025 | 2 | 00:34 | Offensive | Tage Thompson |
| Mar 17, 2025 | 1 | 18:13 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Dec 21, 2024 | 3 | 19:44 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Dec 21, 2024 | 2 | 17:08 | Offensive | Tage Thompson |
| Dec 21, 2024 | 1 | 18:06 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |