Scouting Report
Pavel Zacha holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zacha 54.4% vs Nosek 51.4% (+2.9%)
Offensive zone
Zacha 70.5%
Defensive zone
Nosek 67.5%
Neutral zone
Nosek 52.1%
Result
Pavel Zacha favored at 50.3%
50.3%
49.7%
Zacha
Nosek
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zacha
Nosek
Edge
Even Strength
53.9% (787)
54.4% (215)
-0.5%
Power Play
63.2% (193)
0.0% (1)
+63.2%
Penalty Kill
44.3% (88)
23.5% (17)
+20.8%
On power play, Zacha has a +63.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nosek shoots left. Zacha is 51.0% vs left-shot opponents (621).
Zacha shoots left. Nosek is 55.2% vs left-shot opponents (154).
Home / Away
Zacha
Nosek
Home
56.7% (538)
50.4% (127)
Away
52.8% (530)
53.8% (106)
By Period
Zacha
Nosek
P1
52.6%
51.4%
P2
54.8%
51.3%
P3
56.8%
53.2%
Final 5 min
51.9%
40.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zacha
48.0%▼
51.0%
54.8%
Nosek
56.0%▬
55.5%
51.9%