Scouting Report
Pavel Zacha holds a +4.6% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zacha 51.8% vs Nosek 48.5% (+4.6%)
Offensive zone
Zacha 56.2%
Defensive zone
Zacha 53.1%
Neutral zone
Nosek 51.0%
Result
Pavel Zacha favored at 52.8%
52.8%
47.2%
Zacha
Nosek
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zacha
Nosek
Edge
Even Strength
53.0% (700)
52.0% (102)
+1.0%
Power Play
54.1% (109)
100.0% (2)
-45.9%
Penalty Kill
39.2% (74)
29.0% (31)
+10.2%
On power play, Nosek has a +45.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nosek shoots left. Zacha is 51.5% vs left-shot opponents (520).
Zacha shoots left. Nosek is 45.6% vs left-shot opponents (79).
Home / Away
Zacha
Nosek
Home
51.6% (438)
52.0% (50)
Away
52.4% (445)
44.7% (85)
By Period
Zacha
Nosek
P1
57.0%
45.0%
P2
48.9%
42.0%
P3
50.5%
55.6%
Final 5 min
48.0%
43.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zacha
56.0%▲
50.0%
52.0%
Nosek
56.0%▲
50.0%
47.4%