Scouting Report
Tyler Johnson holds a +10.7% FO% edge overall. Zacha wins 53.1% vs right-shot opponents — Johnson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zacha 50.1% vs Johnson 53.6% (-10.7%)
Offensive zone
Zacha 57.4%
Defensive zone
Zacha 56.6%
Neutral zone
Johnson 50.5%
Result
Pavel Zacha favored at 54.5%
54.5%
45.5%
Zacha
Johnson
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zacha
Johnson
Edge
Even Strength
48.0% (296)
61.9% (42)
-13.9%
Power Play
61.0% (59)
55.6% (9)
+5.4%
On even strength, Johnson has a +13.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnson shoots right. Zacha is 53.1% vs right-shot opponents (160).
Zacha shoots left. Johnson is 61.8% vs left-shot opponents (34).
Home / Away
Zacha
Johnson
Home
48.9% (223)
52.0% (25)
Away
51.9% (154)
69.2% (26)
By Period
Zacha
Johnson
P1
47.9%
72.0%
P2
48.3%
66.7%
P3
54.3%
27.3%
Final 5 min
47.1%
53.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zacha
56.0%▲
50.0%
50.1%
Johnson
42.0%▼
48.0%
60.8%