Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.2% vs 49.7%). Look for Johnson on defensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zacha 49.2% vs Johnson 49.7% (-0.5%)
H2H factor
Johnson leads 8-5 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Zacha 50.1%
Defensive zone
Johnson 50.1%
Neutral zone
Zacha 50.3%
Result
Pavel Zacha favored at 50.1%
50.1%
49.9%
Zacha
Johnson
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
8
(13 meetings)
5
8
Zacha
Johnson
Last 10: Zacha 4-6 Johnson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johnson
2
3
Zacha
Johnson
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Johnson
1
5
Zacha
Johnson
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zacha
2
0
Zacha
Johnson
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zacha
Johnson
Edge
Even Strength
48.9% (5,156)
49.8% (5,396)
-0.9%
Power Play
55.7% (813)
54.6% (885)
+1.1%
Penalty Kill
42.2% (557)
42.3% (707)
-0.1%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnson shoots right. Zacha is 51.1% vs right-shot opponents (2,560).
Zacha shoots left. Johnson is 49.6% vs left-shot opponents (4,785).
Home / Away
Zacha
Johnson
Home
49.7% (3,381)
52.5% (3,460)
Away
48.6% (3,145)
46.8% (3,528)
By Period
Zacha
Johnson
P1
49.9%
50.1%
P2
49.2%
50.6%
P3
48.2%
48.4%
OT
53.5%
42.5%
Final 5 min
47.3%
49.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zacha
56.0%▲
50.0%
49.2%
Johnson
42.0%▼
48.0%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2023 | 1 | 12:54 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Nov 25, 2018 | 2 | 18:21 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Nov 25, 2018 | 1 | 05:12 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Feb 17, 2018 | 2 | 01:59 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Oct 17, 2017 | 3 | 17:29 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Oct 17, 2017 | 3 | 17:25 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Nov 5, 2016 | 1 | 12:33 | Defensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Nov 5, 2016 | 1 | 04:15 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Nov 5, 2016 | 1 | 02:15 | Defensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Oct 29, 2016 | 1 | 09:20 | Defensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Oct 15, 2016 | 2 | 11:05 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Oct 15, 2016 | 2 | 04:19 | Defensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Oct 15, 2016 | 2 | 01:46 | Defensive | Tyler Johnson |