Scouting Report
William Karlsson holds a +5.6% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zacha 51.8% vs Karlsson 54.7% (-5.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Karlsson 61.6%
Defensive zone
Karlsson 58.4%
Neutral zone
Zacha 51.4%
Result
Pavel Zacha favored at 51.4%
51.4%
48.6%
Zacha
Karlsson
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Zacha
Karlsson
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zacha
1
0
Zacha
Karlsson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zacha
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
53.0% (700)
58.5% (135)
-5.5%
Power Play
54.1% (109)
80.0% (5)
-25.9%
Penalty Kill
39.2% (74)
44.4% (18)
-5.2%
On power play, Karlsson has a +25.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Zacha is 51.5% vs left-shot opponents (520).
Zacha shoots left. Karlsson is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (120).
Home / Away
Zacha
Karlsson
Home
51.6% (438)
63.7% (91)
Away
52.4% (445)
49.3% (67)
By Period
Zacha
Karlsson
P1
57.0%
54.4%
P2
48.9%
66.7%
P3
50.5%
51.9%
OT
42.1%
100.0%
Final 5 min
48.0%
54.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zacha
56.0%▲
50.0%
52.0%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
57.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2025 | 3 | 05:12 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |