Pavel Zacha vs William Karlsson
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
William Karlsson holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Karlsson on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 10 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zacha 49.1% vs Karlsson 51.3% (-2.2%)
H2H factor
Karlsson leads 15-11 in 26 meetings
Offensive zone
Zacha 64.4%
Defensive zone
Zacha 57.8%
Neutral zone
Zacha 63.4%
Result
Pavel Zacha favored at 61.2%
61.2%
38.8%
Zacha
Karlsson
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
15
(26 meetings)
11
15
Zacha
Karlsson
Last 10: Zacha 4-6 Karlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Karlsson
4
6
Zacha
Karlsson
10 total
Defensive Zone
Even
6
6
Zacha
Karlsson
12 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Karlsson
1
3
Zacha
Karlsson
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zacha
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
48.8% (4,953)
51.8% (7,849)
-3.0%
Power Play
55.8% (788)
54.8% (1,048)
+1.0%
Penalty Kill
42.0% (547)
44.2% (1,109)
-2.2%
On even strength, Karlsson has a +3.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Zacha is 47.9% vs left-shot opponents (3,816).
Zacha shoots left. Karlsson is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (6,551).
Home / Away
Zacha
Karlsson
Home
49.6% (3,278)
52.0% (5,090)
Away
48.5% (3,010)
50.5% (4,916)
By Period
Zacha
Karlsson
P1
49.9%
50.3%
P2
49.1%
51.3%
P3
47.9%
52.4%
OT
54.9%
44.9%
Final 5 min
47.4%
51.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zacha
48.0%▼
51.0%
49.1%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2025 | 3 | 05:12 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 20, 2025 | 2 | 08:08 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Feb 29, 2024 | 3 | 00:21 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Dec 11, 2022 | 3 | 10:37 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Dec 11, 2022 | 1 | 17:01 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Dec 11, 2022 | 1 | 16:39 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Dec 11, 2022 | 1 | 13:28 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Dec 5, 2022 | 1 | 12:23 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Dec 16, 2021 | 3 | 08:30 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Dec 16, 2021 | 2 | 17:41 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Dec 16, 2021 | 1 | 02:33 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 3, 2020 | 3 | 11:49 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Mar 3, 2020 | 3 | 02:11 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Mar 3, 2020 | 1 | 19:55 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Dec 3, 2019 | 3 | 11:48 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Dec 3, 2019 | 2 | 19:17 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Dec 3, 2019 | 2 | 07:43 | Neutral | William Karlsson |
| Dec 3, 2019 | 2 | 04:04 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Dec 3, 2019 | 2 | 00:33 | Neutral | William Karlsson |
| Mar 4, 2018 | 3 | 16:38 | Offensive | William Karlsson |