Scouting Report
Pavel Zacha holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Gourde on offensive-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zacha 49.2% vs Gourde 48.2% (+1.0%)
H2H factor
Gourde leads 9-8 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
Zacha 57.1%
Defensive zone
Gourde 56.7%
Neutral zone
Gourde 52.9%
Result
Pavel Zacha favored at 50.7%
50.7%
49.3%
Zacha
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
9
(17 meetings)
8
9
Zacha
Gourde
Last 10: Zacha 7-3 Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gourde
2
5
Zacha
Gourde
7 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Zacha
Gourde
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zacha
5
3
Zacha
Gourde
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zacha
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
48.9% (5,156)
48.4% (4,987)
+0.5%
Power Play
55.7% (813)
57.4% (376)
-1.7%
Penalty Kill
42.2% (557)
40.0% (555)
+2.2%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Zacha is 47.9% vs left-shot opponents (3,965).
Zacha shoots left. Gourde is 49.0% vs left-shot opponents (3,967).
Home / Away
Zacha
Gourde
Home
49.7% (3,381)
49.3% (2,949)
Away
48.6% (3,145)
47.2% (2,969)
By Period
Zacha
Gourde
P1
49.9%
49.8%
P2
49.2%
47.5%
P3
48.2%
47.5%
OT
53.5%
37.0%
Final 5 min
47.3%
48.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zacha
56.0%▲
50.0%
49.2%
Gourde
48.0%▲
46.0%
48.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2025 | 2 | 11:33 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 8, 2025 | 3 | 15:03 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Nov 3, 2024 | 1 | 12:09 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Feb 26, 2024 | 3 | 14:30 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Feb 26, 2024 | 2 | 04:45 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Feb 26, 2024 | 1 | 15:29 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Feb 15, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Feb 15, 2024 | 2 | 17:52 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Feb 15, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Dec 3, 2018 | 2 | 19:52 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Dec 3, 2018 | 2 | 12:39 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Dec 3, 2018 | 1 | 11:23 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Dec 3, 2018 | 1 | 11:27 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Nov 25, 2018 | 2 | 04:05 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Feb 17, 2018 | 3 | 04:40 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Feb 17, 2018 | 3 | 04:20 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Oct 17, 2017 | 3 | 08:04 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |