Scouting Report
Sam Carrick holds a +10.7% FO% edge overall. Krebs wins 45.7% vs right-shot opponents — Carrick shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Krebs 45.4% vs Carrick 54.2% (-10.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Carrick 57.4%
Defensive zone
Carrick 82.7%
Neutral zone
Carrick 75.2%
Result
Sam Carrick favored at 75.2%
24.8%
75.2%
Krebs
Carrick
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Krebs
Carrick
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Krebs
1
0
Krebs
Carrick
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Krebs
Carrick
Edge
Even Strength
44.4% (403)
55.5% (470)
-11.1%
Power Play
33.3% (6)
66.7% (3)
-33.4%
Penalty Kill
45.0% (20)
50.0% (58)
-5.0%
On power play, Carrick has a +33.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carrick shoots right. Krebs is 45.7% vs right-shot opponents (138).
Krebs shoots left. Carrick is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (387).
Home / Away
Krebs
Carrick
Home
46.3% (205)
58.6% (261)
Away
42.4% (224)
51.5% (270)
By Period
Krebs
Carrick
P1
47.0%
55.9%
P2
45.4%
53.5%
P3
40.7%
55.6%
OT
0.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
54.2%
56.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Krebs
48.0%▲
42.0%
44.3%
Carrick
60.0%▲
57.0%
55.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2025 | 3 | 17:25 | Neutral | Peyton Krebs |