Scouting Report
Sam Carrick holds a +6.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Carrick on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Krebs 45.9% vs Carrick 52.2% (-6.6%)
H2H factor
Carrick leads 13-5 in 18 meetings
Offensive zone
Krebs 90.8%
Defensive zone
Krebs 84.3%
Neutral zone
Krebs 85.9%
Result
Peyton Krebs favored at 85.4%
85.4%
14.6%
Krebs
Carrick
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
13
(18 meetings)
5
13
Krebs
Carrick
Last 10: Krebs 3-7 Carrick
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carrick
0
6
Krebs
Carrick
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carrick
5
7
Krebs
Carrick
12 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Krebs
Carrick
Edge
Even Strength
46.0% (2,174)
52.2% (2,544)
-6.2%
Power Play
52.5% (101)
61.3% (75)
-8.8%
Penalty Kill
38.6% (171)
50.8% (435)
-12.2%
On penalty kill, Carrick has a +12.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carrick shoots right. Krebs is 48.8% vs right-shot opponents (891).
Krebs shoots left. Carrick is 52.7% vs left-shot opponents (2,211).
Home / Away
Krebs
Carrick
Home
45.6% (1,199)
51.5% (1,477)
Away
45.8% (1,247)
53.0% (1,577)
By Period
Krebs
Carrick
P1
45.9%
51.8%
P2
46.5%
52.3%
P3
44.7%
52.6%
OT
50.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
49.7%
49.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Krebs
48.0%▲
42.0%
45.7%
Carrick
60.0%▲
57.0%
52.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2025 | 3 | 17:25 | Neutral | Peyton Krebs |
| Feb 22, 2025 | 2 | 05:29 | Neutral | Sam Carrick |
| Feb 22, 2025 | 1 | 17:38 | Neutral | Peyton Krebs |
| Feb 22, 2025 | 1 | 17:33 | Neutral | Sam Carrick |
| Feb 22, 2025 | 1 | 01:46 | Neutral | Sam Carrick |
| Dec 11, 2024 | 3 | 01:31 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Dec 11, 2024 | 2 | 11:49 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Dec 11, 2024 | 2 | 03:06 | Neutral | Sam Carrick |
| Nov 7, 2024 | 3 | 01:24 | Neutral | Sam Carrick |
| Mar 21, 2024 | 3 | 19:51 | Neutral | Peyton Krebs |
| Mar 21, 2024 | 3 | 15:18 | Neutral | Peyton Krebs |
| Mar 9, 2024 | 3 | 01:33 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Mar 9, 2024 | 2 | 08:42 | Neutral | Sam Carrick |
| Mar 9, 2024 | 1 | 13:53 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Feb 19, 2024 | 2 | 14:34 | Neutral | Sam Carrick |
| Feb 19, 2024 | 1 | 06:02 | Neutral | Peyton Krebs |
| Jan 23, 2024 | 3 | 11:57 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Jan 23, 2024 | 3 | 11:47 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |