Scouting Report
Sean Kuraly holds a +6.8% FO% edge overall. Krebs wins 43.6% vs left-shot opponents — Kuraly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Krebs 45.4% vs Kuraly 51.0% (-6.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Krebs 68.0%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 67.2%
Neutral zone
Kuraly 54.4%
Result
Sean Kuraly favored at 60.8%
39.2%
60.8%
Krebs
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Krebs
Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kuraly
0
1
Krebs
Kuraly
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Krebs
1
0
Krebs
Kuraly
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Krebs
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
44.4% (403)
52.6% (464)
-8.2%
Power Play
33.3% (6)
100.0% (1)
-66.7%
Penalty Kill
45.0% (20)
46.5% (155)
-1.5%
On power play, Kuraly has a +66.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Krebs is 43.6% vs left-shot opponents (291).
Krebs shoots left. Kuraly is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (385).
Home / Away
Krebs
Kuraly
Home
46.3% (205)
55.9% (322)
Away
42.4% (224)
46.0% (298)
By Period
Krebs
Kuraly
P1
47.0%
55.9%
P2
45.4%
46.7%
P3
40.7%
50.7%
OT
0.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
54.2%
50.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Krebs
48.0%▲
42.0%
44.3%
Kuraly
66.0%▲
61.0%
51.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 30, 2025 | 1 | 05:43 | Neutral | Peyton Krebs |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 3 | 09:51 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |