Scouting Report
Sean Kuraly holds a +4.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Krebs on neutral-zone draws (73% H2H, 11 meetings). Krebs wins 43.9% vs left-shot opponents — Kuraly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Krebs 45.9% vs Kuraly 50.4% (-4.7%)
H2H factor
Krebs leads 13-12 in 25 meetings
Offensive zone
Krebs 57.4%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 80.3%
Neutral zone
Kuraly 60.4%
Result
Sean Kuraly favored at 65.5%
34.5%
65.5%
Krebs
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
13
-
12
(25 meetings)
13
12
Krebs
Kuraly
Last 10: Krebs 5-5 Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kuraly
1
3
Krebs
Kuraly
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kuraly
4
6
Krebs
Kuraly
10 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Krebs
8
3
Krebs
Kuraly
11 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Krebs
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
46.0% (2,174)
51.6% (5,161)
-5.6%
Power Play
52.5% (101)
56.4% (101)
-3.9%
Penalty Kill
38.6% (171)
44.4% (1,091)
-5.8%
On penalty kill, Kuraly has a +5.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Krebs is 43.9% vs left-shot opponents (1,555).
Krebs shoots left. Kuraly is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (4,119).
Home / Away
Krebs
Kuraly
Home
45.6% (1,199)
52.1% (3,205)
Away
45.8% (1,247)
48.8% (3,149)
By Period
Krebs
Kuraly
P1
45.9%
51.2%
P2
46.5%
50.0%
P3
44.7%
50.2%
OT
50.0%
52.3%
Final 5 min
49.7%
49.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Krebs
48.0%▲
42.0%
45.7%
Kuraly
66.0%▲
61.0%
50.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 30, 2025 | 1 | 05:43 | Neutral | Peyton Krebs |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 3 | 09:51 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Feb 4, 2025 | 2 | 11:20 | Defensive | Peyton Krebs |
| Feb 4, 2025 | 1 | 08:56 | Offensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Oct 17, 2024 | 2 | 17:29 | Neutral | Peyton Krebs |
| Dec 19, 2023 | 3 | 08:30 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Dec 19, 2023 | 1 | 14:40 | Neutral | Peyton Krebs |
| Dec 19, 2023 | 1 | 10:52 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Apr 14, 2023 | 1 | 12:18 | Neutral | Peyton Krebs |
| Feb 28, 2023 | 2 | 12:09 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Feb 28, 2023 | 1 | 19:50 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Feb 28, 2023 | 1 | 16:38 | Neutral | Peyton Krebs |
| Feb 28, 2023 | 1 | 16:30 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Feb 28, 2023 | 1 | 16:23 | Offensive | Peyton Krebs |
| Feb 28, 2023 | 1 | 09:10 | Offensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Feb 28, 2023 | 1 | 06:16 | Defensive | Peyton Krebs |
| Feb 28, 2023 | 1 | 02:53 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Dec 7, 2022 | 2 | 19:16 | Neutral | Peyton Krebs |
| Dec 7, 2022 | 2 | 05:41 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Feb 10, 2022 | 3 | 14:25 | Neutral | Peyton Krebs |