Scouting Report
Sebastian Aho holds a +5.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Aho on offensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Krebs wins 43.9% vs left-shot opponents — Aho shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Krebs 45.9% vs Aho 51.3% (-5.6%)
H2H factor
Aho leads 8-8 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Aho 76.0%
Defensive zone
Krebs 67.7%
Neutral zone
Krebs 50.1%
Result
Sebastian Aho favored at 53.1%
46.9%
53.1%
Krebs
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
8
(16 meetings)
8
8
Krebs
Aho
Last 10: Krebs 4-6 Aho
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Aho
1
5
Krebs
Aho
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Krebs
4
2
Krebs
Aho
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Krebs
3
1
Krebs
Aho
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Krebs
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
46.0% (2,174)
50.2% (6,646)
-4.2%
Power Play
52.5% (101)
58.9% (1,310)
-6.4%
Penalty Kill
38.6% (171)
46.5% (465)
-7.9%
On penalty kill, Aho has a +7.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Krebs is 43.9% vs left-shot opponents (1,555).
Krebs shoots left. Aho is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (5,317).
Home / Away
Krebs
Aho
Home
45.6% (1,199)
52.4% (4,325)
Away
45.8% (1,247)
50.1% (4,096)
By Period
Krebs
Aho
P1
45.9%
51.1%
P2
46.5%
52.1%
P3
44.7%
50.8%
OT
50.0%
48.9%
Final 5 min
49.7%
50.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Krebs
48.0%▲
42.0%
45.7%
Aho
60.0%▲
50.5%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 23, 2025 | 2 | 18:07 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Nov 23, 2025 | 2 | 12:03 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 3 | 17:56 | Neutral | Peyton Krebs |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 3 | 15:03 | Offensive | Peyton Krebs |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 3 | 06:49 | Neutral | Peyton Krebs |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 2 | 16:24 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 1 | 17:10 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Jan 15, 2025 | 1 | 09:27 | Defensive | Peyton Krebs |
| Feb 25, 2024 | 3 | 18:16 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Dec 2, 2023 | 2 | 16:42 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Apr 8, 2023 | 3 | 15:54 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Apr 8, 2023 | 3 | 10:54 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Apr 8, 2023 | 2 | 14:13 | Defensive | Peyton Krebs |
| Apr 8, 2023 | 2 | 07:10 | Neutral | Peyton Krebs |
| Feb 1, 2023 | 1 | 16:34 | Defensive | Peyton Krebs |
| Nov 4, 2022 | 1 | 18:40 | Defensive | Peyton Krebs |