Scouting Report
Steven Lorentz holds a +4.7% FO% edge overall. Krebs wins 43.6% vs left-shot opponents — Lorentz shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Krebs 45.4% vs Lorentz 49.5% (-4.7%)
Offensive zone
Krebs 59.2%
Defensive zone
Krebs 51.0%
Neutral zone
Lorentz 56.3%
Result
Peyton Krebs favored at 51.3%
51.3%
48.7%
Krebs
Lorentz
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Krebs
Lorentz
Edge
Even Strength
44.4% (403)
51.4% (74)
-7.0%
Power Play
33.3% (6)
50.0% (2)
-16.7%
Penalty Kill
45.0% (20)
42.3% (26)
+2.7%
On power play, Lorentz has a +16.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lorentz shoots left. Krebs is 43.6% vs left-shot opponents (291).
Krebs shoots left. Lorentz is 54.2% vs left-shot opponents (59).
Home / Away
Krebs
Lorentz
Home
46.3% (205)
52.9% (68)
Away
42.4% (224)
41.2% (34)
By Period
Krebs
Lorentz
P1
47.0%
58.6%
P2
45.4%
45.0%
P3
40.7%
45.5%
Final 5 min
54.2%
52.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Krebs
48.0%▲
42.0%
44.3%
Lorentz
48.0%▬
48.0%
49.0%