Scouting Report
Steven Lorentz holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Lorentz on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Krebs wins 43.9% vs left-shot opponents — Lorentz shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Krebs 45.9% vs Lorentz 48.5% (-2.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Krebs 53.7%
Defensive zone
Krebs 59.3%
Neutral zone
Krebs 58.5%
Result
Peyton Krebs favored at 58.3%
58.3%
41.7%
Krebs
Lorentz
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Krebs
Lorentz
Last 8: Krebs 2-6 Lorentz
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lorentz
0
1
Krebs
Lorentz
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Krebs
Lorentz
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lorentz
0
3
Krebs
Lorentz
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Krebs
Lorentz
Edge
Even Strength
46.0% (2,174)
48.9% (1,125)
-2.9%
Power Play
52.5% (101)
50.0% (26)
+2.5%
Penalty Kill
38.6% (171)
41.8% (91)
-3.2%
On penalty kill, Lorentz has a +3.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lorentz shoots left. Krebs is 43.9% vs left-shot opponents (1,555).
Krebs shoots left. Lorentz is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (784).
Home / Away
Krebs
Lorentz
Home
45.6% (1,199)
50.6% (609)
Away
45.8% (1,247)
46.3% (633)
By Period
Krebs
Lorentz
P1
45.9%
53.0%
P2
46.5%
46.7%
P3
44.7%
46.2%
OT
50.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
49.7%
48.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Krebs
48.0%▲
42.0%
45.7%
Lorentz
48.0%▬
48.0%
48.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 13, 2024 | 3 | 04:21 | Defensive | Peyton Krebs |
| Apr 13, 2024 | 2 | 07:19 | Defensive | Peyton Krebs |
| Feb 18, 2023 | 3 | 09:52 | Neutral | Steven Lorentz |
| Feb 18, 2023 | 3 | 03:35 | Defensive | Steven Lorentz |
| Feb 18, 2023 | 1 | 12:26 | Offensive | Steven Lorentz |
| Feb 18, 2023 | 1 | 01:47 | Neutral | Steven Lorentz |
| Dec 4, 2022 | 2 | 03:10 | Defensive | Steven Lorentz |
| Dec 4, 2022 | 1 | 09:19 | Neutral | Steven Lorentz |