Scouting Report
Steven Stamkos holds a +12.2% FO% edge overall. Krebs wins 45.7% vs right-shot opponents — Stamkos shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Krebs 45.4% vs Stamkos 55.4% (-12.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Krebs 65.8%
Defensive zone
Krebs 87.5%
Neutral zone
Krebs 76.6%
Result
Peyton Krebs favored at 76.7%
76.7%
23.3%
Krebs
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Krebs
Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
0
1
Krebs
Stamkos
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
0
1
Krebs
Stamkos
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Krebs
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
44.4% (403)
57.1% (368)
-12.7%
Power Play
33.3% (6)
55.2% (96)
-21.9%
Penalty Kill
45.0% (20)
50.0% (10)
-5.0%
On power play, Stamkos has a +21.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Krebs is 45.7% vs right-shot opponents (138).
Krebs shoots left. Stamkos is 58.6% vs left-shot opponents (353).
Home / Away
Krebs
Stamkos
Home
46.3% (205)
53.9% (230)
Away
42.4% (224)
59.0% (244)
By Period
Krebs
Stamkos
P1
47.0%
56.7%
P2
45.4%
54.1%
P3
40.7%
59.2%
OT
0.0%
62.5%
Final 5 min
54.2%
59.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Krebs
48.0%▲
42.0%
44.3%
Stamkos
66.0%▲
56.5%
56.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2026 | 2 | 07:26 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Mar 7, 2026 | 2 | 04:11 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |