Scouting Report
Steven Stamkos holds a +5.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Stamkos on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Krebs 45.9% vs Stamkos 51.1% (-5.4%)
H2H factor
Stamkos leads 6-6 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Stamkos 74.5%
Defensive zone
Krebs 66.5%
Neutral zone
Stamkos 51.0%
Result
Steven Stamkos favored at 53.5%
46.5%
53.5%
Krebs
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
6
(12 meetings)
6
6
Krebs
Stamkos
Last 10: Krebs 4-6 Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
1
4
Krebs
Stamkos
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Krebs
3
2
Krebs
Stamkos
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Krebs
2
0
Krebs
Stamkos
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Krebs
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
46.0% (2,174)
50.5% (9,825)
-4.5%
Power Play
52.5% (101)
55.2% (1,729)
-2.7%
Penalty Kill
38.6% (171)
49.6% (827)
-11.0%
On penalty kill, Stamkos has a +11.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Krebs is 48.8% vs right-shot opponents (891).
Krebs shoots left. Stamkos is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (8,806).
Home / Away
Krebs
Stamkos
Home
45.6% (1,199)
52.8% (6,270)
Away
45.8% (1,247)
49.3% (6,137)
By Period
Krebs
Stamkos
P1
45.9%
49.2%
P2
46.5%
52.7%
P3
44.7%
50.9%
OT
50.0%
54.3%
Final 5 min
49.7%
52.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Krebs
48.0%▲
42.0%
45.7%
Stamkos
66.0%▲
56.5%
51.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2026 | 2 | 07:26 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Mar 7, 2026 | 2 | 04:11 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Apr 15, 2024 | 2 | 01:37 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Jan 20, 2024 | 1 | 14:19 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Mar 4, 2023 | 2 | 12:30 | Neutral | Peyton Krebs |
| Mar 4, 2023 | 2 | 08:00 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Mar 4, 2023 | 2 | 02:07 | Offensive | Peyton Krebs |
| Mar 4, 2023 | 1 | 09:03 | Defensive | Peyton Krebs |
| Feb 23, 2023 | 3 | 18:43 | Defensive | Peyton Krebs |
| Feb 23, 2023 | 3 | 13:45 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Feb 23, 2023 | 1 | 04:25 | Neutral | Peyton Krebs |
| Apr 10, 2022 | 1 | 16:08 | Defensive | Peyton Krebs |