Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +13.8% FO% edge overall. Krebs wins 43.6% vs left-shot opponents — Hertl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Krebs 45.4% vs Hertl 57.5% (-13.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hertl 71.8%
Defensive zone
Krebs 76.9%
Neutral zone
Krebs 56.4%
Result
Peyton Krebs favored at 76.9%
76.9%
23.1%
Krebs
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Krebs
Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
0
1
Krebs
Hertl
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Krebs
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
44.4% (403)
58.7% (858)
-14.3%
Power Play
33.3% (6)
55.8% (285)
-22.5%
Penalty Kill
45.0% (20)
62.9% (35)
-17.9%
On power play, Hertl has a +22.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Krebs is 43.6% vs left-shot opponents (291).
Krebs shoots left. Hertl is 57.1% vs left-shot opponents (736).
Home / Away
Krebs
Hertl
Home
46.3% (205)
60.1% (599)
Away
42.4% (224)
56.1% (579)
By Period
Krebs
Hertl
P1
47.0%
52.4%
P2
45.4%
63.9%
P3
40.7%
58.5%
OT
0.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
54.2%
59.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Krebs
48.0%▲
42.0%
44.3%
Hertl
66.0%▲
61.0%
58.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 17, 2026 | 3 | 03:02 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |