Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +8.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Krebs on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Krebs wins 43.9% vs left-shot opponents — Hertl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Krebs 45.9% vs Hertl 54.3% (-8.6%)
H2H factor
Krebs leads 7-6 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Hertl 84.1%
Defensive zone
Hertl 57.4%
Neutral zone
Hertl 68.9%
Result
Tomas Hertl favored at 69.2%
30.8%
69.2%
Krebs
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
6
(13 meetings)
7
6
Krebs
Hertl
Last 10: Krebs 5-5 Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
1
3
Krebs
Hertl
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
2
3
Krebs
Hertl
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Krebs
4
0
Krebs
Hertl
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Krebs
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
46.0% (2,174)
53.9% (8,303)
-7.9%
Power Play
52.5% (101)
59.2% (1,995)
-6.7%
Penalty Kill
38.6% (171)
46.3% (806)
-7.7%
On even strength, Hertl has a +7.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Krebs is 43.9% vs left-shot opponents (1,555).
Krebs shoots left. Hertl is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (6,962).
Home / Away
Krebs
Hertl
Home
45.6% (1,199)
55.8% (5,382)
Away
45.8% (1,247)
52.9% (5,722)
By Period
Krebs
Hertl
P1
45.9%
53.6%
P2
46.5%
54.2%
P3
44.7%
55.3%
OT
50.0%
46.9%
Final 5 min
49.7%
54.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Krebs
48.0%▲
42.0%
45.7%
Hertl
66.0%▲
61.0%
54.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 17, 2026 | 3 | 03:02 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Mar 15, 2025 | 2 | 05:20 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Jan 27, 2024 | 3 | 08:04 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Jan 27, 2024 | 1 | 18:22 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Jan 15, 2024 | 2 | 11:46 | Offensive | Peyton Krebs |
| Jan 15, 2024 | 2 | 11:34 | Neutral | Peyton Krebs |
| Jan 15, 2024 | 1 | 16:37 | Neutral | Peyton Krebs |
| Jan 15, 2024 | 1 | 09:07 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Feb 18, 2023 | 3 | 06:07 | Defensive | Peyton Krebs |
| Feb 18, 2023 | 2 | 18:28 | Defensive | Peyton Krebs |
| Feb 18, 2023 | 2 | 09:12 | Neutral | Peyton Krebs |
| Feb 18, 2023 | 1 | 16:49 | Neutral | Peyton Krebs |
| Dec 4, 2022 | 3 | 12:12 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |