Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +6.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Dubois on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dubois 49.7% vs Hertl 55.4% (-6.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Result
Tomas Hertl favored at 55.7%
44.3%
55.7%
Dubois
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Dubois
Hertl
Last 6: Dubois 3-3 Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
0
2
Dubois
Hertl
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dubois
3
0
Dubois
Hertl
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hertl
0
1
Dubois
Hertl
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dubois
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
49.8% (1,064)
54.1% (717)
-4.3%
Power Play
46.3% (67)
61.9% (210)
-15.6%
Penalty Kill
53.3% (30)
58.1% (31)
-4.8%
On power play, Hertl has a +15.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Dubois is 50.0% vs left-shot opponents (770).
Dubois shoots left. Hertl is 55.5% vs left-shot opponents (596).
Home / Away
Dubois
Hertl
Home
48.3% (582)
58.1% (492)
Away
51.1% (579)
53.6% (466)
By Period
Dubois
Hertl
P1
52.0%
57.1%
P2
49.9%
54.0%
P3
46.9%
56.6%
OT
64.3%
66.7%
Final 5 min
51.9%
53.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dubois
42.0%▼
47.5%
49.7%
Hertl
58.0%▬
58.5%
55.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 17, 2024 | 3 | 15:30 | Defensive | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Nov 17, 2024 | 3 | 02:47 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Nov 17, 2024 | 3 | 02:45 | Defensive | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Nov 17, 2024 | 2 | 15:04 | Defensive | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Nov 17, 2024 | 2 | 06:37 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Nov 17, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |