Scouting Report
Sebastian Aho holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Suter 48.3% vs Aho 50.5% (-2.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Aho 74.0%
Defensive zone
Suter 71.2%
Neutral zone
Suter 53.5%
Result
Sebastian Aho favored at 51.4%
48.6%
51.4%
Suter
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Suter
Aho
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Aho
0
1
Suter
Aho
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Suter
1
0
Suter
Aho
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Suter
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
49.7% (372)
50.5% (878)
-0.8%
Power Play
47.4% (19)
53.5% (144)
-6.1%
Penalty Kill
39.8% (83)
44.3% (61)
-4.5%
On power play, Aho has a +6.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Suter is 49.4% vs left-shot opponents (312).
Suter shoots left. Aho is 47.8% vs left-shot opponents (703).
Home / Away
Suter
Aho
Home
47.1% (242)
53.8% (571)
Away
48.7% (232)
46.9% (512)
By Period
Suter
Aho
P1
48.2%
49.0%
P2
47.7%
51.7%
P3
48.8%
50.3%
OT
25.0%
58.8%
Final 5 min
50.4%
49.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Suter
40.0%▼
48.0%
47.9%
Aho
60.0%▲
50.5%
50.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2026 | 1 | 09:29 | Defensive | Pius Suter |
| Mar 12, 2026 | 1 | 05:45 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |