Scouting Report
Steven Stamkos holds a +8.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Suter on defensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Suter wins 45.1% vs right-shot opponents — Stamkos shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Suter 48.3% vs Stamkos 55.4% (-8.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stamkos 90.2%
Defensive zone
Stamkos 56.5%
Neutral zone
Stamkos 72.8%
Result
Steven Stamkos favored at 67.0%
33.0%
67.0%
Suter
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Suter
Stamkos
Last 8: Suter 5-3 Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Suter
Stamkos
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Suter
3
2
Suter
Stamkos
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Suter
1
0
Suter
Stamkos
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Suter
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
49.7% (372)
57.1% (368)
-7.4%
Power Play
47.4% (19)
55.2% (96)
-7.8%
Penalty Kill
39.8% (83)
50.0% (10)
-10.2%
On penalty kill, Stamkos has a +10.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Suter is 45.1% vs right-shot opponents (162).
Suter shoots left. Stamkos is 58.6% vs left-shot opponents (353).
Home / Away
Suter
Stamkos
Home
47.1% (242)
53.9% (230)
Away
48.7% (232)
59.0% (244)
By Period
Suter
Stamkos
P1
48.2%
56.7%
P2
47.7%
54.1%
P3
48.8%
59.2%
OT
25.0%
62.5%
Final 5 min
50.4%
59.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Suter
40.0%▼
48.0%
47.9%
Stamkos
66.0%▲
56.5%
56.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 2, 2026 | 3 | 09:12 | Offensive | Pius Suter |
| Feb 2, 2026 | 2 | 03:55 | Neutral | Pius Suter |
| Feb 2, 2026 | 1 | 10:49 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Dec 15, 2025 | 2 | 11:29 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Dec 15, 2025 | 2 | 04:09 | Defensive | Pius Suter |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 3 | 12:43 | Defensive | Pius Suter |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 3 | 02:13 | Defensive | Pius Suter |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 1 | 18:33 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |