Scouting Report
Steven Stamkos holds a +4.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Stamkos on defensive-zone draws (65% H2H, 23 meetings). Suter wins 45.7% vs right-shot opponents — Stamkos shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Suter 46.3% vs Stamkos 51.1% (-4.9%)
H2H factor
Stamkos leads 30-18 in 48 meetings
Offensive zone
Suter 89.8%
Defensive zone
Suter 82.7%
Neutral zone
Suter 81.5%
Result
Pius Suter favored at 85.5%
85.5%
14.5%
Suter
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
18
-
30
(48 meetings)
18
30
Suter
Stamkos
Last 10: Suter 6-4 Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
8
12
Suter
Stamkos
20 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
8
15
Suter
Stamkos
23 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stamkos
2
3
Suter
Stamkos
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Suter
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
46.2% (3,223)
50.5% (9,825)
-4.3%
Power Play
53.0% (281)
55.2% (1,729)
-2.2%
Penalty Kill
40.1% (307)
49.6% (827)
-9.5%
On penalty kill, Stamkos has a +9.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Suter is 45.7% vs right-shot opponents (1,406).
Suter shoots left. Stamkos is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (8,806).
Home / Away
Suter
Stamkos
Home
46.7% (1,823)
52.8% (6,270)
Away
45.7% (1,988)
49.3% (6,137)
By Period
Suter
Stamkos
P1
46.6%
49.2%
P2
46.0%
52.7%
P3
46.0%
50.9%
OT
44.4%
54.3%
Final 5 min
46.8%
52.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Suter
40.0%▼
48.0%
46.2%
Stamkos
66.0%▲
56.5%
51.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 2, 2026 | 3 | 09:12 | Offensive | Pius Suter |
| Feb 2, 2026 | 2 | 03:55 | Neutral | Pius Suter |
| Feb 2, 2026 | 1 | 10:49 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Dec 15, 2025 | 2 | 11:29 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Dec 15, 2025 | 2 | 04:09 | Defensive | Pius Suter |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 3 | 12:43 | Defensive | Pius Suter |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 3 | 02:13 | Defensive | Pius Suter |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 1 | 18:33 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Jan 29, 2025 | 2 | 11:46 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Jan 29, 2025 | 2 | 11:37 | Defensive | Pius Suter |
| Jan 29, 2025 | 2 | 02:48 | Defensive | Pius Suter |
| Jan 3, 2025 | 3 | 10:31 | Defensive | Pius Suter |
| Jan 3, 2025 | 2 | 02:37 | Offensive | Pius Suter |
| Jan 3, 2025 | 1 | 12:28 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Jan 3, 2025 | 1 | 10:21 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Apr 13, 2023 | 3 | 10:09 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Dec 21, 2022 | 2 | 13:34 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Apr 19, 2022 | 3 | 18:34 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Apr 19, 2022 | 2 | 09:40 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Apr 19, 2022 | 1 | 15:40 | Offensive | Pius Suter |