Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.3% vs 50.2%). Look for Suter on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Suter wins 54.0% vs right-shot opponents — Johnston shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Suter 49.5% vs Johnston 50.1% (-0.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Suter 56.1%
Defensive zone
Johnston 65.2%
Neutral zone
Johnston 56.7%
Result
Wyatt Johnston favored at 58.8%
41.2%
58.8%
Suter
Johnston
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
Suter
Johnston
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Suter
1
0
Suter
Johnston
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Suter
2
1
Suter
Johnston
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Suter
Johnston
Edge
Even Strength
47.2% (299)
50.7% (552)
-3.5%
Power Play
58.9% (56)
61.5% (13)
-2.6%
Penalty Kill
54.5% (22)
43.5% (69)
+11.0%
On penalty kill, Suter has a +11.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnston shoots right. Suter is 54.0% vs right-shot opponents (126).
Suter shoots left. Johnston is 48.4% vs left-shot opponents (498).
Home / Away
Suter
Johnston
Home
51.7% (172)
50.3% (342)
Away
47.3% (205)
50.0% (292)
By Period
Suter
Johnston
P1
48.2%
54.4%
P2
49.3%
47.2%
P3
51.2%
49.4%
OT
25.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
49.5%
47.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Suter
46.0%▼
48.0%
49.3%
Johnston
44.0%▼
47.0%
50.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2024 | 2 | 05:00 | Defensive | Pius Suter |
| Dec 21, 2023 | 1 | 10:51 | Neutral | Wyatt Johnston |
| Nov 4, 2023 | 2 | 14:58 | Neutral | Pius Suter |
| Nov 4, 2023 | 2 | 14:49 | Neutral | Pius Suter |