Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (47.9% vs 47.8%). Look for Johnston on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings). Suter wins 45.1% vs right-shot opponents — Johnston shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Suter 48.3% vs Johnston 48.0% (+0.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Johnston 60.3%
Defensive zone
Suter 63.5%
Neutral zone
Suter 54.8%
Result
Pius Suter favored at 59.4%
59.4%
40.6%
Suter
Johnston
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Suter
Johnston
Last 8: Suter 3-5 Johnston
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johnston
0
1
Suter
Johnston
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Johnston
2
4
Suter
Johnston
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Suter
1
0
Suter
Johnston
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Suter
Johnston
Edge
Even Strength
49.7% (372)
47.3% (666)
+2.4%
Power Play
47.4% (19)
50.7% (69)
-3.3%
Penalty Kill
39.8% (83)
51.4% (35)
-11.6%
On penalty kill, Johnston has a +11.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnston shoots right. Suter is 45.1% vs right-shot opponents (162).
Suter shoots left. Johnston is 46.4% vs left-shot opponents (567).
Home / Away
Suter
Johnston
Home
47.1% (242)
47.5% (364)
Away
48.7% (232)
48.0% (406)
By Period
Suter
Johnston
P1
48.2%
49.4%
P2
47.7%
46.9%
P3
48.8%
47.1%
OT
25.0%
47.1%
Final 5 min
50.4%
46.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Suter
40.0%▼
48.0%
47.9%
Johnston
40.0%▼
49.0%
47.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 4, 2026 | 1 | 07:29 | Neutral | Pius Suter |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 3 | 01:38 | Defensive | Wyatt Johnston |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 3 | 01:30 | Defensive | Wyatt Johnston |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 3 | 01:21 | Defensive | Wyatt Johnston |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 2 | 04:59 | Defensive | Pius Suter |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 1 | 13:20 | Offensive | Wyatt Johnston |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 1 | 09:21 | Defensive | Pius Suter |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 1 | 08:10 | Defensive | Wyatt Johnston |