Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (45.4% vs 46.3%). Look for Donato on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Byfield wins 44.0% vs left-shot opponents — Donato shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Byfield 45.8% vs Donato 47.1% (-0.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Donato 68.0%
Defensive zone
Byfield 61.4%
Neutral zone
Donato 51.3%
Result
Ryan Donato favored at 58.8%
41.2%
58.8%
Byfield
Donato
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Byfield
Donato
Last 5: Byfield 1-4 Donato
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Donato
0
3
Byfield
Donato
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Byfield
1
0
Byfield
Donato
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Donato
0
1
Byfield
Donato
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Byfield
Donato
Edge
Even Strength
46.8% (801)
46.8% (297)
+0.0%
Power Play
50.8% (59)
41.0% (39)
+9.8%
Penalty Kill
35.9% (153)
100.0% (1)
-64.1%
On penalty kill, Donato has a +64.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Donato shoots left. Byfield is 44.0% vs left-shot opponents (666).
Byfield shoots left. Donato is 42.9% vs left-shot opponents (189).
Home / Away
Byfield
Donato
Home
46.3% (462)
45.8% (142)
Away
44.6% (551)
46.7% (195)
By Period
Byfield
Donato
P1
44.6%
49.5%
P2
43.4%
45.7%
P3
48.7%
43.4%
OT
37.9%
75.0%
Final 5 min
42.6%
54.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Byfield
54.0%▼
57.0%
45.4%
Donato
40.0%▼
46.0%
46.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 4, 2025 | 3 | 16:24 | Offensive | Ryan Donato |
| Dec 4, 2025 | 3 | 16:11 | Defensive | Quinton Byfield |
| Dec 4, 2025 | 3 | 12:31 | Neutral | Ryan Donato |
| Dec 4, 2025 | 3 | 02:52 | Offensive | Ryan Donato |
| Oct 26, 2025 | 3 | 10:04 | Offensive | Ryan Donato |